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3 ways to stay on top of stock market

With stock markets oscillating wildly, the bigger concern for investors is to protect their investments over the downturn, rather than clock aggressive growth during the upturn.

Protecting your investments in a falling market is easier said than done. It involves taking on that precise quantum of risk that can spur your investments in a rising market and cut losses in a falling market.

While this sounds very difficult (and it is, even the best fund managers often struggle in striking this sweet balance between risk and return), we have not one, but three ways for you to stay on top of stock market volatility.

1. Good old balanced funds

Balanced funds, if you still remember them, are asset allocation investments. They invest across equity and debt markets (minimum 65% of assets in equities), which leaves them well placed to serve three objectives:

Shift across asset classes based on the best available investment opportunities.

Use the debt component intelligently to de-risk the equity portfolio during volatility in equity markets.

Book profits in equities regularly which again de-risks the equity portfolio by capping the level.

Like balanced funds, monthly income plans (MIPs), offer a similar investment proposition, although to a lesser extent. Since MIPs usually invest 15%-25% of assets in equities they are suited for investors with low-to-medium risk appetite.

In a falling market, when being fully invested in equities can prove perilous, a balanced fund with a 35% debt component might just be what the doctored ordered.

2. Investing through SIPs

Unlike balanced funds, which are usually ignored, SIPs have been widely adopted by investors. The reasons are not far to seek. Investing Rs 500-1,000 every month is a lot easier on the wallet than investing (a minimum of) Rs 5,000 lump sum.

By investing smaller amounts at regular intervals, you can reduce the average cost of your mutual fund investments over a market cycle. This is possible because when markets are volatile, SIPs activated during that period lower the overall average cost of purchase.

So investors who have opted for the SIP route welcome the volatility in stock markets and look forward to more of it going forward.

3. Always stay diversified

When markets are on the rise and everything appears hunky dory, that's when investors are most prone to make mistakes. That is the time when various high risk investments like thematic/sector funds are spawned.

Since a rising tide lifts all boats, most fund houses are quick to respond to a rally by launching high risk investments like thematic funds which they otherwise would not have launched.

Taking on higher risk pays rich dividends in a rising market, which explains why investors are prepared to risk their monies in a thematic fund that they would otherwise not have done.

Don't believe us? Compare the number of investors who invested in technology/software funds in 1999-2000 (before the tech crash) with those who invested in them in 2000-2002 (after the crash). Once the tech crash had set in, technology funds were the most reviled investments.

On the other hand, investors who were invested in well-diversified equity funds were relatively better off in the face of market volatility.

We see a similar situation emerging at present. Investors are going all out to invest in infrastructure funds ignoring the higher risk and the fact that they are in the midst of a stock market rally which enables such funds to generate above-average returns.

If the markets were to correct sharply, themes like infrastructure could be the hardest hit making investors in thematic funds wish that they had invested in diversified equity funds instead.

Top-performing mutual funds in Nov 2007

The month was marred by intense volatility as equity markets rose and fell sharply with alarming regularity. It was a month in contrast for the benchmark indices. The CNX Midcap appreciated by 7.30% before settling at 7,994 points.

Conversely, the large cap indices i.e. BSE Sensex and S&P CNX Nifty closed the month in negative terrain. The BSE Sensex shed 2.39% during the month and closed at 19,363 points; the S&P CNX Nifty posted a loss of 2.34% to close at 5,763 points.

In November 2007, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers of equities to the tune of Rs 45,974 m (as on November 30, 2007). On the contrary, mutual funds were net buyers with purchases of Rs 28,366 m.

Incidentally, this month we profiled Sundaram Select Midcap Fund, a leading mid cap fund. Mid cap stocks tend to be more risky investment propositions as compared to their large cap peers. Mid cap funds imbibe similar properties.

Sundaram Select Midcap's performance is truly noteworthy on several counts. Not only does the fund have an impressive track record on the returns front over longer time frames vis-�-vis its peers, it also scores favourably on the risk parameters. Sundaram Select Midcap's impressive performance can in no small measure be attributed to its fund house's process-driven investment approach.

Monthly top performers: Open-ended equity funds
Equity Funds NAV (Rs) 1-Mth 6-Mth 1-Yr SD SR
Tauras Discovery Stock 27.63 13.75% 62.43% 85.19% 12.51% 0.26%
Reliance [ Get Quote] Media & Ent. 35.34 11.39% 21.07% 58.62% 9.37% 0.36%
ING Dividend Yield 16.34 10.78% 32.09% 47.74% 8.58% 0.21%
JM Financial [ Get Quote] Services 17.42 9.38% 46.25% - - -
JM Emerging Leaders 17.53 8.95% 50.94% 62.28% 8.50% 0.25%
(Source: Credence Analytics. NAV data as on November 30, 2007.)
(Standard Deviation highlights the element of risk associated with the fund. Sharpe Ratio is a measure of the returns offered by the fund vis-�-vis those offered by a risk-free instrument)

Tauras Discovery Stock (13.75%) emerged as the top performer in the equity funds segment. Reliance Media and Entertainment (11.39%) and ING Dividend Yield (10.78%) occupied second and third positions respectively.

Monthly top performers: Open-ended long-term debt funds
Debt Funds NAV (Rs) 1-Mth 6-Mth 1-Yr SD SR
ABN AMRO Flexi Debt 12.19 0.81% 3.39% 8.00% 0.23% 0.42%
Reliance Income 24.90 0.78% 6.28% 7.62% 0.60% 0.01%
ICICI [ Get Quote] Pru. Income 23.86 0.76% 7.69% 7.52% 0.91% 0.00%
JM Income 29.95 0.76% 3.23% 5.33% 0.32% -0.68%
Kotak Bond 21.07 0.75% 6.47% 8.69% 0.48% 0.15%
(Source: Credence Analytics. NAV data as on November 30, 2007.)

ABN AMRO Flexi Debt (0.81%) occupied the top slot in the long-term debt funds category. Reliance Income (0.78%) and ICICI Prudential Income (0.76%) also featured in the top performers' list.

Monthly top performers: Open-ended balanced funds
Balanced Funds NAV (Rs) 1-Mth 6-Mth 1-Yr SD SR
LIC [ Get Quote] MF Balanced 65.82 9.72% 49.17% 45.42% 7.36% 0.32%
ING Balance 25.28 2.89% 31.32% 40.68% 6.47% 0.28%
Kotak Balance 30.68 2.34% 32.88% 42.16% 6.86% 0.35%
DSP ML Balance 52.86 2.34% 23.91% 39.34% 6.51% 0.36%
Tata Balanced 72.47 1.44% 33.69% 48.31% 7.37% 0.37%
(Source: Credence Analytics. NAV data as on November 30, 2007.)

LIC MF Balanced (9.72%) topped the balanced funds segment powered by a superlative performance. ING Balance (2.89%) and Kotak Balance ( 2.34%) came in at second and third positions respectively.

At Personalfn, we have consistently emphasised the importance of not losing sight of one's risk appetite while investing. An often-repeated quote is 'one size doesn't fit all.'

In other words, investing is a rather subjective matter. What's right for one investor (say a high risk-taker) can be grossly unsuitable for another (say a low risk-taker).

More importantly, it must be understood that one's risk appetite is independent of market conditions. Hence there is a need for investors to appreciate that taking on higher risk to make the most of rising markets is unwarranted. In conclusion, adhere to your risk appetite at all times and you should do well for yourself over the long-term.

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